Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,343 at 6 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,251 at 7 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 65250.57 / 64343.02 − 1 = +1.41%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.41% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology