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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2085277948693660120:memecoin:$PUMP

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Aug 2026, 08:13 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$PUMP / $USD - Update So we hit my main target, but now the bulls will want to flip this level for another 20% pump. Easy winnings if you got in with me early. https://t.co/65hidLg6DK

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.00236 at 6 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.002276 at 7 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 0.0022758444508662722 / 0.0023596516721391815 − 1 = -3.55%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.55% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PUMP ($PUMP)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PUMP / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 84%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.00236

Evaluation price

$0.002276

Move

-3.55%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 22:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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