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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Aug 2026, 19:22 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Kevin Svenson

@KevinSvenson_

#Ethereum🔹historic weekly falling wedge bullish reversal. the setup is clear. are you ready? 🔗https://t.co/3AMc33qIm2 https://t.co/uKNKLFSf1k

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,916 at 5 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,908 at 6 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 1908.41 / 1915.62 − 1 = -0.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time