Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,916 at 5 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,905 at 6 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 1904.6 / 1916.21 − 1 = -0.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology