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Published 5 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
DON'T WAIT FOR BITCOIN TO HIT $40K OR $50K. THAT WILL BE YOUR BIGGEST MISTAKE. Everyone is using the 2022 fractal. Almost nobody anchored it right. The anchor isn't the peak. It's the last sweep before the peak failed. In October 2025, price pushed to $126K while RSI made a lower high. That bearish divergence is what confirmed the top, and that's where the overlay starts. Anchor it there and 2026 doesn't point at $40K. It puts price inside the bottom zone, which is exactly where it's sitting at $64,039. Lose $58K on a weekly close and my alignment is wrong. Same fractal, different starting point, completely different conclusion.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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