Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

Quoting · 30 Jan 2026, 02:22 UTC · context given to the AI

#Bitcoin THE MOST HATED FRACTAL. THEY SAID IT WOULD NEVER HAPPEN AGAIN https://t.co/JE8j6x1XZi https://t.co/obHJm7Bmsj

#Bitcoin fractal update: Low is basically in according to this maybe one more drop maybe not.. sideways before up if this continues to play out. https://t.co/w8PxNmdNo2 https://t.co/GJliOCE3lk

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,051 at 5 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,603 at 6 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 64603.02 / 64050.51 − 1 = +0.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#Bitcoin fractal update:”
Confidence: 85%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

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