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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2084686991258693850:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Aug 2026, 17:04 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:25 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high. NASDAQ is about to follow. The Bitcoin catch-up rally is going to be insane. https://t.co/OWtTJzmiQv

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,919 at 4 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,694 at 5 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 64694.25 / 63918.95 − 1 = +1.21%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.21% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The Bitcoin catch-up rally is going to be insane.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$63,919

Evaluation price

$64,694

Move

+1.21%

Neutral threshold

±0.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 09:06 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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