Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,900 at 4 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $63,441 at 11 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 63440.58 / 63899.71 − 1 = -0.72%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.72% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology