Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Aug 2026, 15:34 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Yoddha

@CryptoYoddha

In reply to · 4 Aug 2026, 12:44 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC New York plan Potential manipulation of buyers Bearish bias Waiting for trigger MS = trigger No trigger = no trade https://t.co/huhBMWpIkK

@tradingjip I feel the same! Bulls are getting tired on each push

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,071 at 4 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,327 at 5 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 64327.09 / 64070.92 − 1 = +0.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@tradingjip I feel the same! Bulls are getting tired on each push”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3