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Published 4 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
John
@CryptoGodJohn
Polymarket is raising at a $20b market cap Kalshi is raising at a $25b market cap $MANIFEST is building its own prediction market platform and only at $8m This is severely undervalued. Especially if $POLY goes live in the coming months Manifest can easily go to $250-$300m from here just off the prediction market hype Wow this is actually insane.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 0.010280809866900479 / 0.009893081111814292 − 1 = +3.9%d × r = +3.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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