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Leaderboard / @TedPillows / 2084533593276039663:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Aug 2026, 06:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Te

Ted

@TedPillows

Spot is contributing to the $BTC rally. This should continue for more upside. https://t.co/zV4vUPZ7gE

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,607 at 4 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,199 at 5 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
r = 64199.3 / 63607.16 − 1 = +0.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Spot is contributing to the $BTC rally.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$63,607

Evaluation price

$64,199

Move

+0.9%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

11 Nov 2026, 00:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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