Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,813 at 3 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $77,318 at 2 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 77317.51 / 63813.49 − 1 = +21.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -21.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology