Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Aug 2026, 16:34 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 3 Aug 2026, 16:26 UTC · context given to the AI

@randgroup Follow the money!

@DryNavigator Send $ETH to new highs.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,864 at 3 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,868 at 4 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1868.34 / 1864.32 − 1 = +0.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time