Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,267 at 3 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $77,113 at 2 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 77112.64 / 63267.2 − 1 = +21.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -21.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology