Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,538 at 3 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,617 at 4 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 63617.41 / 62537.59 − 1 = +1.73%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.73% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology