Published 1 Aug 2026, 19:01 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
₿IRB
@crypto_birb
Bitcoin lost money in August 11 of 16 times. Midterm Aug-Sept is ugliest 2-month window in 4-year cycle. But -16.68% avg loss is not as bad as its context. We're now where bitcoin was at 23.6k in 2022 before falling to 15.5k or at 8.1k in 2018 before dropping 3.2k. Thoughts? https://t.co/thL8tC6hwlView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63380.18 / 62471.53 − 1 = +1.5%d × r = -1.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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