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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2083251093350343001:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 31 Jul 2026, 17:59 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$ETH / $USD - Update No clear setup as we failed to clear $1930 so a drop to the range low at $1805 - $1795 is on the cards. https://t.co/qmBQypEjx8

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,873 at 31 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,860 at 1 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 1860.35 / 1873.07 − 1 = -0.68%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.68% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$1,873

Evaluation price

$1,860

Move

-0.68%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 23:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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