Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,194 at 31 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $64,963 at 7 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 64963.1 / 63193.7 − 1 = +2.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology