Published 31 Jul 2026, 12:59 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 22 Jul 2026, 15:53 UTC · context given to the AI
Now, let's look at something different. Every cycle, $BTC has only formed 3 significant lows after the complacency high and final retest. The third low has already formed this cycle. Do as you wish with this information. https://t.co/nFGVnB2KX0 https://t.co/hHDvKaWWFMThis was my plan from months ago… $BTC The big capitulation wick everyone is hunting for is unlikely to extend us significantly lower (36-48K) In every bear cycle we form 3 significant lows. The final 2 are usually the most important. BTC swept the 59K level, printed mild bullish divergence, and failed to break lower with any real force. If we were truly headed for a leg down to 40K, it should have happened already. I believe we are firmly inside the accumulation range, with 57K acting as the overall base low, a level that carries a lot of weight. That doesn’t mean we can’t trade below it. It simply means I don’t expect another extended leg down into the extreme lows most people are targeting. History supports this view. We have already swept the significant low, just as we’ve done in every previous cycle. That fact is more important than most realize.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63041.63 / 63677.86 − 1 = -1.0%d × r = -1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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