Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,230 at 31 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,002 at 1 Aug 2026, 03:00 UTC.
3. r = 63001.74 / 64230.03 − 1 = -1.91%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.91% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology