Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.007175 at 30 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.006505 at 31 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.00650468018195786 / 0.0071754876292622356 − 1 = -9.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -9.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology