Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,662 at 30 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,626 at 31 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 62625.76 / 64661.64 − 1 = -3.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology