Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $UAI price at or after publication, $0.4796 at 30 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.3662 at 31 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.366157643602356 / 0.479649912166581 − 1 = -23.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -23.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology