Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jul 2026, 15:45 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

Quoting · 29 Jul 2026, 15:36 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: 50% chance Bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000 https://t.co/IdDMBntWCJ

2015: floor touch at $200 2019: floor touch at $3.4K 2022: floor touch at $15.5K 2026: floor touch at $58K The next one is ... https://t.co/TDaf54S1J5 https://t.co/xItqp9iUKi

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “2015: floor touch at $200 2019: floor touch at $3.4K 2022: floor touch at $15.5K 2026: floor touch at $58K The next one is ... https://t.co/TDaf54S1J5 https://t.co/xItqp9iUKi”
Confidence: 54%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (54%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction