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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jul 2026, 12:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Killa

@KillaXBT

Every time $BTC has printed a golden cross close to the bottom, it has marked the beginning of a major trend shift. Once the 50 MA crosses above the 200 MA and price is trading above both, Long your longs. https://t.co/tTLjKCtUER

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,202 at 29 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,840 at 30 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 64839.6 / 64201.9 − 1 = +1.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Every time $BTC has printed a golden cross close to the bottom, it has marked the beginning of a major trend shift.”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

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