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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jul 2026, 10:39 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

$BTC Was expecting short covering bounce yesterday, we got it. Was pretty obvious to expect it, because price dumps into passive demand with increased Open Interest and refuses to go down at some point. Now we are back to resistance with spot bands flipping red. Want to see rejection and hopefully dump below key S/R level at 62.8K

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,395 at 29 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,472 at 30 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 64472.29 / 64395.34 − 1 = +0.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC Was expecting short covering bounce yesterday, we got it.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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