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Published 29 Jul 2026, 09:50 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
That Martini Guy ₿
@MartiniGuyYT
Bitcoin’s biggest signal right now isn’t the price. It’s the supply. Long-term holder supply continues to trend higher, showing that experienced investors are not aggressively distributing their Bitcoin back into the market. This matters. When more BTC moves into stronger hands, available supply decreases. Less liquid supply + increasing demand = a stronger market structure. Historically, major cycle tops have been marked by long-term holders selling heavily into the market. We’re not seeing that behaviour right now. The biggest thing I’m watching: Do long-term holders start releasing supply? Because if they don’t, and demand continues to increase, Bitcoin could be facing a serious supply squeeze. Everyone watches the candles. The smart money watches the supply.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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