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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2082354508554764524:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jul 2026, 06:36 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

The more $USDT can dump today The higher we are going to pump on Bitcoin Ethereum. They are holding so well.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,353 at 29 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,915 at 30 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
r = 63915.32 / 64352.6 − 1 = -0.68%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.68% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “The higher we are going to pump on Bitcoin Ethereum.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$64,353

Evaluation price

$63,915

Move

-0.68%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 00:16 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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