Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,903 at 29 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,899 at 30 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC.
3. r = 1899.32 / 1903.04 − 1 = -0.2%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology