Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Jul 2026, 15:54 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

SalsaTekila

@SalsaTekila

In reply to · 28 Jul 2026, 15:54 UTC · context given to the AI

I would rather chew my left testicle than bet on memecoins We are supposed to learn from our mistakes, not repeat them

@krugermacro Indeed also ETH is going much higher and so is BTC we don’t need memes

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,858 at 28 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,868 at 29 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 63867.94 / 63857.58 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@krugermacro Indeed also ETH is going much higher and so is BTC we don’t need memes”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3