Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,733 at 27 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $63,116 at 28 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC.
3. r = 63115.57 / 63732.74 − 1 = -1.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology