Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,925 at 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,918 at 28 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 1918.2 / 1925.36 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology