Published 27 Jul 2026, 14:36 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
#BTC If you believe the Bitcoin Bear Market bottom is in already... That means you believe some of the following: - The Bear Market has shortened to just 73% of the usual time it takes for Bitcoin to bottom - That there has been a drastic shallowing across Bear Market corrections by ~23% (whereas the historical difference in shallowing across Bear Cycles has been up to ~10%) Effectively, the belief of "the Bear Market bottom is already in" assumes an invalidation of certain long-standing principles in Bitcoin market cycles which is probabilistically unlikely until proven otherwise (i.e. via price breach of Macro Lower Highs) $BTC #Crypto #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63336.07 / 64611.76 − 1 = -1.97%d × r = +1.97% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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