Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,959 at 27 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,872 at 28 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 1871.9 / 1959.2 − 1 = -4.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +4.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology