Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,162 at 27 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,026 at 28 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 63026.08 / 65161.65 − 1 = -3.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology