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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2081462558058258804:memecoin:$PENGU

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Jul 2026, 19:32 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$PENGU / $USD - Update This is a dip i am looking for. https://t.co/wzlHzIikZi

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PENGU price at or after publication, $0.006283 at 26 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.006111 at 27 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 0.006111160146102325 / 0.006283464839814131 − 1 = -2.74%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.74% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PENGU ($PENGU)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PENGU / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 72%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: incorrect

Baseline price

$0.006283

Evaluation price

$0.006111

Move

-2.74%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 01:16 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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