Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,311 at 26 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,167 at 27 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 65166.93 / 64310.72 − 1 = +1.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology