Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,360 at 25 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,686 at 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 64686.2 / 64360.26 − 1 = +0.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology