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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Jul 2026, 10:45 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

Ethereum Treasury companies are holding well. I want to see a pump here, which would lead to more $ETH buying. https://t.co/osMsj6c6Sr

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,857 at 25 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,884 at 26 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 1884.21 / 1856.76 − 1 = +1.5%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time