Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Jul 2026, 18:53 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Poseidon

@CryptoPoseidonn

In reply to · 24 Jul 2026, 14:23 UTC · context given to the AI

$eth hear me out: close above 2k -> we got 4k https://t.co/G2ZJoRbmWS

@duje_matic close above 4k, we got 10k

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,861 at 24 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,874 at 25 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 1873.7 / 1860.83 − 1 = +0.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time