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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Jul 2026, 18:19 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:35 UTC

Justin Bennett

@JustinBennettFX

Once again, no real support from whales during this bounce from the $63,700 support. That could change, but #Bitcoin has also fallen below the $64,800 key level, so things remain bearish. Hit the ❤️ if you find this helpful! I get people don't like bearish views, but damn... https://t.co/gcrgDEe0xi

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,211 at 24 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,360 at 25 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 64360.26 / 64210.9 − 1 = +0.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “That could change, but #Bitcoin has also fallen below the $64,800 key level, so things remain bearish.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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