Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $LIT price at or after publication, $2.08 at 24 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $2.04 at 24 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 2.04039041485733 / 2.07812873734527 − 1 = -1.82%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.82% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology