Prediction evidence

Quoting · 22 Jul 2026, 14:37 UTC · context given to the AI

This could break the whole damn thing. 👀 The US 30-year yield is once again retesting the top of a 3.5-year ascending triangle. Break it, and the objective is 6.56%. Charts like this get little attention, and that’s a mistake. It’s charts like this that have led me to tell you guys repeatedly to stop expecting $BTC to do the same thing every 4 years. Expecting the same 4-year cycles while the macro backdrop is changing this dramatically makes zero sense. A sustained breakout in long-term yields would tighten financial conditions, pressure risk assets, hammer rate-sensitive sectors, and make an already ugly debt situation even harder to manage. That doesn’t mean everything collapses tomorrow. But it does mean blindly expecting another copy-and-paste Bitcoin cycle because “the halving” is getting more dangerous by the day. $BTC $ETH