Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,117 at 24 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $63,177 at 31 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 63177.42 / 64117.07 − 1 = -1.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology