Published 24 Jul 2026, 16:02 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Has everyone suddenly forgotten that $BTC made a new ATH before the halving last cycle? Have people forgotten that we reached a new ATH just 476 days after the bottom? Significantly faster than the previous 2 cycles? The cycle has accelerated. I expect the same thing to happen again. $BTC will make a new ATH pre-halving this cycle as well. Which means bottoms will form quicker & so will tops. Seasonality works until it doesn't. We weren’t supposed to break the ATH pre-halving based on historical seasonality, yet we did. We were supposed to top in November–December based on seasonality, yet the cycle topped just days into October. Cycles don’t follow a perfect script, so expecting the timing to mirror previous cycles perfectly is unreasonable, especially when subtle signs are already suggesting otherwise. Few understand.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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