Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Jul 2026, 13:33 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Poseidon

@CryptoPoseidonn

In reply to · 23 Jul 2026, 13:30 UTC · context given to the AI

@CryptoPoseidonn @George1Trader you honestly thinking Btc wil hit mid 40s?

@nt_byte @George1Trader nope, 55-50 max imo (even this is low chance for me, i keep 20% of my money for this if it happens)

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,831 at 23 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,090 at 24 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 64089.8 / 64831.17 − 1 = -1.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@nt_byte @George1Trader nope, 55-50 max imo (even this is low chance for me, i keep 20% of my money for this if it happens)”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3