Published 23 Jul 2026, 10:39 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Krzysztof #BTC
@Krzyszt40559764
In reply to · 23 Jul 2026, 09:32 UTC · context given to the AI
Without trying to overthink it: - $BTC is in a macro area of interest in what has historically been a value area where it had bottomed repeatedly. - Whether it holds this area or not, we shall find out together. I offer no definitive, predictive value. Only probabilistic. -The monthly TD8 & 9 count buy signals add a layer of confluence. They point to exhaustion of the downtrend on this higher timeframe which is good to see as it arrived into this value area. -BTC is currently trading back above the band, a monthly close above it would be great to see, even better would be a bullish engulfing candle above the previous month. -Trading above the dashed line above consistently highlights true macro bullish conditions. The area between this dashed line and the value band is where we can expect the bullish consolidation to unfold. -A loss of the band could signal a more significant macro shift, turning this band into resistance and even bringing the 2022 lows into question. I will demonstrate the same band and past behaviour in relation to it on the wider markets including the SPX, IGV, Gold etc over the coming days to give you a better understanding of it's significance.@GeoMetric_9 Back to the 2022 lows? That's probably the most bearish scenario I've seen. We'll see. So if we close lower, the door to much lower levels will be open.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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