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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Jul 2026, 18:42 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

Quoting · 22 Jul 2026, 18:22 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: A Kalshi user is up over 40% on a 3.5x long Bitcoin trade This trader will double their money if $BTC hits $76,135 Liquidation price: $42,297 https://t.co/NwjMuNQUPN

$BTC rallied 20% when it reclaimed 50D SMA in April. Bitcoin has reclaimed this level again, and a similar pump will push BTC to $76,000. https://t.co/shuGsf2FcI https://t.co/Ah7PbKiVMY

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“$BTC is having a correction but still holding above the $65,000 level. As long as this holds, Bitcoin could rally towards $67,500-$68,000 soon. https://t.co/CSCTGjdhCC”Repeat23 Jul 2026, 09:29 UTC
“$BTC futures demand has turned positive. But it's way less than what we saw during May peak. This means less speculation and more room for a pump before euphoria. https://t.co/pshdtiv1y1”Repeat23 Jul 2026, 10:43 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC rallied 20% when it reclaimed 50D SMA in April.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record