Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Jul 2026, 18:13 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

Quoting · 22 Jul 2026, 18:03 UTC · context given to the AI

while your favorite KOL is shilling the top we are at @TheKookLetter are buying $FEFER on Stable called at 66k, now at 500k https://t.co/60cKOSf7Dz

kookletter prints again $40k ---> $1m currently going a lot higher all the boys eating on $fefer want to print too??? link below https://t.co/GQ3LXThFy8 https://t.co/0mBncGJmRY

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $Fefer price at or after publication, $0.00002351 at 22 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.000006828 at 23 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 0.00000682757061245302 / 0.0000235100394404027 − 1 = -70.96%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -70.96% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $Fefer ($Fefer)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “all the boys eating on $fefer”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

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