Published 21 Jul 2026, 19:37 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC
Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com
@fundstrat
Love this take from @SeanMFarrell on Clarity Act odds of passage: - his convos with policymakers show higher odds than seen in prediction markets - "recent restrictions" prevent insiders from trading on this outcome Hence, @Polymarket and @Kalshi markets likely underestimate odds of passage PS: This is bullish @FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP $ETHView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 1923.92 / 1922.3 − 1 = +0.08%d × r = +0.08% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
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